CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2020-04-27T13:54:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2020-04-27T13:54ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/15473/-1
CME Note: The source is a filament eruption in the north east (N20E40) of SDO AIA 304 starting around 2020-04-27T09:15Z. The CME produced seems to be more deflected to the south as seen on the STA coronagraphs.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-05-01T16:35Z
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM_V2. ****************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 317.0 km/s u_r = 367.1 km/s Acceleration: 0.293939 Duration in seconds: 355295.80 Duration in days: 4.1122199 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 0.29 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 471.5 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 01/05/2020 Time: 16:35 UTLead Time: 32.58 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2020-04-30T08:00Z
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